How Close? Obama-Romney Contest Could Come Down to Four States


The day Rick Santorum suspended his campaign for the Republican nomination saw President Obama in Florida. He’ll be back in the Sunshine State on Friday.

Floridians can expect to see a lot of the president, and of Mitt Romney, the presumptive Republican nominee, as well as a deluge of television advertising over the next seven months. Florida is one of a handful of states – maybe as few as four or five – that likely will decide the election.

Right now, Obama appears to have at least narrow leads in most of those states, judging by the most recent polls – two last month in Florida had him up by between three and seven points, for example. With more than six months to go before the election, however, plenty of time remains for those polls to turn around.

Some strategists in both parties believe that ultimately the race will come down to Colorado, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia. That scenario has Obama losing Florida, which was among the states hardest hit in the recession and one where the economy remains bad. Others think Florida will stay in play down to the wire.

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